Use the following outline to prepare a comprehensive
Risk Management Plan.
1.0 PROJECT SCOPE
Insert the Scope Statement, or provide
a brief summary of the project, including a description of the work to be
accomplished, a description of the customer’s goals and objectives for the
project, a general description of how the project will be accomplished, and
other pertinent information that will provide a good overview of the project.
2.0 RISK EVENT DESCRIPTIONS AND EVENTS
Determine the business and financial
risks of the project, and, for each element of the WBS, identify any major
risks involved in that element. Complete Risk Event Description and Risk Event
Results. Reference or include a copy of the WBS in this section. The process is
carried out as follows:
2.1 Identify
Risks. Identify business and financial risks associated with the project.
For each element of the WBS, identify any major risks associated with that
element. For more information on risk identification, refer to the guide Risk Management. Complete a Risk Event
Description form for each risk event identified, or use another method of
documentation.
2.2 Analyze
Risks and Calculate the Weighted Cost Impact. In analyzing the risks, make
the assumption that the risk event identified will occur. Think in terms of the
remedial activity that will need to take place to rectify the occurrence of the
risk event. Using the same guidelines used in calculating the cost of the WBS
elements, calculate the rectification cost (impact) without any form of
“padding” or risk adjustment. Analyze the risk event and apply a weighting to
the impact on a scale of 1 through 5 as follows:
·
Weight
1: Has little potential to cause disruption of schedule, costs, or performance
(quality). Increase the impact by 5 percent.
·
Weight
2: May cause minor disruption of schedule, costs, or performance (quality).
Increase the impact by 10 percent.
·
Weight
3: May cause some disruption of schedule, costs, or performance (quality).
Increase the impact by 15 percent.
·
Weight
4: May cause major disruption of schedule, costs, or performance (quality).
Increase the impact by 20 percent.
·
Weight
5: Could cause significant serious disruption of schedule, costs, or
performance (quality). Increase impact by 25 percent.
Finally, estimate the
probability of the event occurring as a percentage (between 0.01 and 0.99), and
calculate the weighted cost impact as follows:
(Cost Impact + Cost
Impact Increase) x Probability of Occurrence =
Weighted Cost Impact
Example: For a risk event with
an estimated cost impact of $2,750, a weight of 4, and probability of
occurrence at 85 percent:
($2,750 + $550) x 0.85 = $2,805
2.3 Identify
High-Risk Events. If a specific risk event has greater than 75 percent
probability and/or the weighted cost impact is greater than 10 percent of the
total project cost, the risk event is by definition a high-risk event. For each
high-risk event, create a separate and unique WBS element that identifies the
work required and the weighted cost impact required to rectify the occurrence
of the high-risk event. This WBS element must be flagged as a high-risk event
element as distinct from a normal WBS element.
2.4 Develop
Mitigation Strategies. Determine potential strategies for mitigating the
risk—either avoiding it, controlling it, or transferring it to another party.
Assuming the risk consequences is also a potential mitigation strategy, but it
is the least desirable. Evaluate the potential cost impact of the mitigation
strategy and reflect that impact in the risk budget.
2.5 Establish
the Risk Budget. Each high-risk event will become a line item in the risk
budget. The other risk events should be accumulated and used to establish the
managerial reserve. An amount for contingency, or those events and
circumstances not anticipated in any way, should be calculated based on
experience. These amounts together become the risk budget portion of the
Project Budget. The risk budget should be margined at the same rate as the
Project Budget to establish the budget at selling price. This then is presented
to the customer in the proposal as the project price.
3.0 RISK REASSESSMENT PLAN
Identify the major reassessment points
for this project, and ensure that those reassessment points are identified in
the Project Plan. At minimum, high-risk events should be reassessed at the
following times:
·
Whenever
major changes occur in the project or its environment
·
Before
major decision milestones
·
Periodically,
according to a predetermined schedule
4.0 RISK MANAGEMENT TIMETABLE
Indicate the timetable for risk
management activities. Ensure that the key events are also reflected on the
Project Schedule. Major milestones include the following:
·
Completion
of risk identification and analysis
·
Risk
prioritization
·
Completion
of mitigation strategy development
·
Incorporation
into Project Plan and WBS
·
Key
reassessment points
·
Documentation
of risk results
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